From todays blog @ http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/...entry_id=26050

According to the POLL from

.

.

The probability that:

.

1) a member of public thinks: Not Guilty = 0.63 (63%)

.

2) a member of public thinks: first degree murder = 0.14 (14%)

.

Since all jurists fell into the atypical 14% case we have that:

.

The probability that the first jurist is a typical member of the public

= 0.14

.

The probability that the first 2 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)(0.14) = 0.0196

.

The probability that the first 3 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.00312816

.

The probability that the first 4 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.0005

.

The probability that the first 5 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.00008

.

The probability that all 12 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)^12 = 0.00000000006

= ONE in 16,666,666,666

= ONE in 17 BILLION.

.

One in 17 billion. NOW THAT IS A RIGGED JURY.

According to the POLL from

.

.

The probability that:

.

1) a member of public thinks: Not Guilty = 0.63 (63%)

.

2) a member of public thinks: first degree murder = 0.14 (14%)

.

Since all jurists fell into the atypical 14% case we have that:

.

The probability that the first jurist is a typical member of the public

= 0.14

.

The probability that the first 2 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)(0.14) = 0.0196

.

The probability that the first 3 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.00312816

.

The probability that the first 4 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.0005

.

The probability that the first 5 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.00008

.

The probability that all 12 jurists are typical members of the public

= (0.14)^12 = 0.00000000006

= ONE in 16,666,666,666

= ONE in 17 BILLION.

.

One in 17 billion. NOW THAT IS A RIGGED JURY.

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