The HANS REISER Murder Trial. Timeline and Analysis.

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  • Jade
    Banned
    • Sep 2006
    • 354

    #71
    From todays blog @ http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/blogs/...entry_id=26050

    According to the POLL from
    .

    .
    The probability that:
    .
    1) a member of public thinks: Not Guilty = 0.63 (63%)
    .
    2) a member of public thinks: first degree murder = 0.14 (14%)
    .
    Since all jurists fell into the atypical 14% case we have that:
    .
    The probability that the first jurist is a typical member of the public
    = 0.14
    .
    The probability that the first 2 jurists are typical members of the public
    = (0.14)(0.14) = 0.0196
    .
    The probability that the first 3 jurists are typical members of the public
    = (0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.00312816
    .
    The probability that the first 4 jurists are typical members of the public
    = (0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.0005
    .
    The probability that the first 5 jurists are typical members of the public
    = (0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14)(0.14) = 0.00008
    .
    The probability that all 12 jurists are typical members of the public
    = (0.14)^12 = 0.00000000006
    = ONE in 16,666,666,666
    = ONE in 17 BILLION.
    .
    One in 17 billion. NOW THAT IS A RIGGED JURY.

    Comment

    • DF5JT
      Junior Member
      • Apr 2008
      • 26

      #72
      Originally posted by Jade View Post
      According to the POLL from
      .


      [...]

      The probability that all 12 jurists are typical members of the public
      = (0.14)^12 = 0.00000000006
      = ONE in 16,666,666,666
      = ONE in 17 BILLION.
      .
      One in 17 billion. NOW THAT IS A RIGGED JURY.
      A poll taken from wired of all places is anything but representative and certainly a far cry away from a poll taken among people who have never heard of Linux and ReiserFS.

      I call you "conclusion" preposterous.

      Comment

      • Jade
        Banned
        • Sep 2006
        • 354

        #73
        The Reiser Jury was RIGGED.

        From http://linuxhelp.150m.com/politics/rigged-jury.htm

        Not much point having this twice on the same page.
        Last edited by Jade; 06 May 2008, 11:00 PM.

        Comment

        • deanjo
          Senior Member
          • May 2007
          • 6501

          #74
          Originally posted by Jade View Post
          So our assumption that the jury was similar to that of the general polled public, is clearly false..
          Your assumption is flawed for many reasons.

          - polls by nature are misleading by simply the wording of them which results in biased results
          - people that vote on polls are rarely fully informed of the complete events and often make their decisions from one articles POV
          - people that read Wired are not your typical "off the street" person
          - conspiracy theories always bring out the nutjobs
          - small sample size in a concentrated demographic skews real world statistics
          - I'd also be willing to bet that none of the voters were present first hand at the trial but relied on sensationalized reporting.

          Comment

          • DF5JT
            Junior Member
            • Apr 2008
            • 26

            #75
            Originally posted by Jade View Post
            The Reiser Jury was RIGGED.
            A poll taken from wired of all places is anything but representative and certainly a far cry away from a poll taken among people who have never heard of Linux and ReiserFS.

            I call you "conclusion" preposterous.

            Comment

            • deanjo
              Senior Member
              • May 2007
              • 6501

              #76
              Originally posted by DF5JT View Post
              A poll taken from wired of all places is anything but representative and certainly a far cry away from a poll taken among people who have never heard of Linux and ReiserFS.

              I call you "conclusion" preposterous.
              Exactly, the only thing stacked was the poll.

              Comment

              • Redeeman
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2007
                • 371

                #77
                Originally posted by DF5JT View Post
                A poll taken from wired of all places is anything but representative and certainly a far cry away from a poll taken among people who have never heard of Linux and ReiserFS.

                I call you "conclusion" preposterous.
                Its not really so hard to believe..

                Not only has there been presented NO piece of hard evidence against him, they havent even established 100% that she is dead..

                When you think about this, is it hard to believe that the chance that 12 randomly selected people will find the person guilty beyond reasonable doubt, is low?

                Comment

                • deanjo
                  Senior Member
                  • May 2007
                  • 6501

                  #78
                  Originally posted by Redeeman View Post
                  they havent even established 100% that she is dead..
                  They never have found Jimmy Hoffa either.

                  Comment

                  • Redeeman
                    Senior Member
                    • Oct 2007
                    • 371

                    #79
                    So you would trust yourself in the hands of such a jury, were you on trial for murdor and you were innocent?

                    Comment

                    • deanjo
                      Senior Member
                      • May 2007
                      • 6501

                      #80
                      Having a dead body present has never been a requirement to have a conviction. Just like they never have to find stolen property to prove theft.

                      Comment

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