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If flash is dying, then the question is what video/audio codecs are used? Vorbis is better than Mp3, but not better than AAC Professional. If/when ghost comes out, it'll simply blow all of the competition out of the water. Video on the other hand could be a problem. h.364 is better than VP8 and the successor to h.364 is being worked on. We need a better open source and patent free video codec so we can comfortably dominate and then the html5 conversion would be far less messy. Our hopes seem to lie with daala.
Why don't distros install GNASH or Llightspark by default???
Ubuntu, Fedora and Suse pride themselves on having only FOSS software. But why don't they include GNASH and/or LIGHTSPARK in their default installations? They don't have to install US-patented codecs, just the players. It seems that these distros are actually pushing people to install Adobe Flash rather than the FOSS alternatives.
I haven't tried Gnash in the last year, but last time I did, it wasn't a drop-in replacement for flash yet. Some stuff wouldn't work and other stuff would run slow. Since flash is an end-user facing technology, it has to just work, otherwise it will reflect negatively in the image that users have of the Linux desktop system.
So, has anybody tried Gnash recently? Has it matured? Is it stable and feature complete enough to replace Adobe's flash plugin now?