Originally posted by sdack
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Linus Torvalds Encourages Kernel Developers & Everyone To Get Vaccinated
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Originally posted by blackiwid View PostThat explains how you come to your other conclusions you try to get some "feelings" ...
Do you now want to continue playing the hurt sheep that never had a chance to go to school, or do you actually want to talk about about the problem of the missing know-how? The choice of where this discussion is going is up to you.
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Originally posted by WeAreDoomed View PostWell, according to Nietzsche, living indeed is suffering, so every humans are miserable, I though you would know that, this is common knowledge after all.
You see, that's the problem with hypothesis, you can formulate two, and yet they can both be wrong.
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We’re used to hearing about the ‘efficacy’ of vaccines. “Trials show the vaccine is 90% effective,” for example. But what does that actually mean?
It means that if the risk in the unvaccinated group was (say) 1% and in the vaccinated group (say) 0.1%, then the Relative Risk Reduction (RRR) is 0.9/1 = 90%. This is the number for efficacy quoted in studies.
But the Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR) in this example is 1-0.1 = 0.9%. For an individual, this is the important number, because it tells you by how much your risk should be lowered by being vaccinated. That must then be compared to the risks from the vaccine.
And you need to ask: is that the risk reduction of merely testing positive? Mild symptoms? Severe disease? Death? It’s not always clear.
For most people, the ARR for Covid vaccines is extremely low, because for most people, the risk to begin with is very low. Because they sound far less impressive, you rarely hear ARRs quoted. Yet they are crucially important. This Lancet study shows the ARRs for cases (not deaths) for the various vaccines based on clinical trials. These are as follows:
Pfizer: 0.8%
J & J: 1.2%
Moderna: 1.2%
AstraZeneca: 1.3%
For younger age groups, it is far lower than this. Furthermore, younger people are far less likely to have serious symptoms so the ARR for serious illness and death is lower still.
Let’s have a look at the ARR for children.
In the UK, the probability of a child of school age dying of Covid in a 12 month period (the time vaccine antibodies might be expected to last) is about 1 in 700,000.
Other things being equal, this means 700,000 children need to be vaccinated in order to prevent 1 child Covid death. Leaving aside the absurd cost (ie huge profits to pharmaceutical companies), just one blood clot or other vaccine-induced death in 700,000 vaccinations would cancel out the benefit. Never mind the unknown long-term effects.
Yet impressive-sounding headlines like “Covid vaccine is 100% effective in kids ages 12 to 15” say nothing about the almost zero ARR.
Understanding Absolute Risk Reduction (ARR) - not just the quoted efficacy - is key to weighing up the pros and cons of the vaccine for different people. For many, the vaccine risk won’t be worth the near-zero Covid risk reduction.
And it’s the ARR for deaths and serious illness, not ‘cases’ and mild symptoms, that matter.
Always look past the headlines.
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Originally posted by piorunz View Post[...]
It means that if the risk in the unvaccinated group was (say) 1% and in the vaccinated group (say) 0.1%, then the Relative Risk Reduction (RRR) is 0.9/1 = 90%. This is the number for efficacy quoted in studies.[...]
[ARR]These are as follows:
Pfizer: 0.8%
J & J: 1.2%
Moderna: 1.2%
AstraZeneca: 1.3%
[...]Always look past the headlines.
RRR don't change, ARR are changing during a pandemic, this is easy to understand. The ARR you show here come from the beginning of the pandemic, so of course there are small, why don't you calculate them during the peak of the pandemic? Also the calculation here is for the whole population, the ARR is higher if you focus on exposed group (typically seniors).
Last edited by WeAreDoomed; 21 June 2021, 06:58 PM.
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Originally posted by sophisticles View PostI do however have serious reservations about potential long term side effects, and I suspect that some of these side effects may mimic the long term effects of COVID-19 infections.
It seems to me that the vaccines should be a lot safer, since they target only a small number of highly-selected viral proteins, contrary to whatever your immune system happens to train on, when you actually do get the virus.
Originally posted by sophisticles View PostThis is one of the reasons I bought all that Pfizer stock.
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Originally posted by Qaridariumthen you say MRIs proof humans are resistant to low frequency magnetic fields then you put metall into your body (magnetic nano particles in the vaccine) and you are no longer allowed to have an MRI if you do it anyway you will get burned inside and die.
It should be pretty easy to find out, by scheduling a MRI appointment. See how long the wait time is, and see if they take you even if you're vaccinated. You could also stand outside a MRI center and ask people leaving if they got a MRI and were vaccinated.
I'm not saying you should do these things, just that the claim is easily testable without directly experimenting on a vaccinated person.
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Originally posted by Gps4life View PostI serious find it shocking, that you seem to repeat only the nonsense the main stream mediia shows us.
Originally posted by Gps4life View PostDo you know the difference between a positive pcr test and an infection ?
Originally posted by Gps4life View PostDo you know this is a new type of vaccine ? Tested by a lot of people who trust their government and that in many countries, they had to put up an emergency law, to be able to do this?
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Originally posted by piorunz View PostFor example: https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistic...ekly-file.xlsx
That shows you that 87,213 Covid deaths within 28 days of a positive test have been recorded in England hospitals. Of these 83,624 all died of other serious pre-existing conditions, but they were recorded as Covid deaths anyway. It means, 3,589 people have died OF Covid-19, not WITH Covid and many other illnesses.
3589 people out of 56 million.
That's government data. Maybe "fact check" that.
Also, Covid & other illnesses stress weak and vulnerable. It causes organ damage that can exacerbate their existing health conditions. So, it seems fair to me that if their health condition deteriorated while they had Covid, that it should be listed as a contributing factor.
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Originally posted by blackiwid View PostNext absurd claim that it can die out, this zero Covid bullshit we hear since the beginning, we would need china level dictatorship worldwide in every country to maybe have a slight chance to get there.
Originally posted by blackiwid View PostAnd Bill Gates refused even to give the patent free to make the vaxxine in "3rd world" countries...
Originally posted by blackiwid View PostIt's very similar in many ways (not all) to the flu so how well do we do in getting rid of the flu? It's seasonal it will come back every year so we have to learn to live with it for probably forever...- The flu virus mutates more rapidly, due to having a second method of introducing mutations
- Flu has animal reservoirs, most notably in birds which tend to migrate, you know?
- There are several strains of flu virus, and the vaccines that we've been using are practically limited to targeting just a few. This introduces the added variable that the producers have to basically guess which strains to target about 8 months in advance of cold & flu season
- New vaccine technology has the potential to enable much more effective flu vaccines. Watch this space!
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