Maybe I am misreading this, but isn't he saying in this quote that its unlikly that a Major OEM will ship, but its still likely/possible tht a smaller one may? That's what he's getting at with the shot-term vs long-term comment. Either way, I wish I got paid enough that an extra $70 a month for a cell phone bill didn't seem crazy to me....
"here is a short-term and longer-term set of goals, I think though.
Longer-term we would love to see the major OEM/Carriers shipping Ubuntu handsets. This is a long road though with many components, and I would be surprised if we see anything like this before 2015. When the major OEMs/Carriers ship, this is when many of the ISVs will be on-board too.
In the shorter-term there are smaller OEMs who serve a smaller region who see great opportunity in Ubuntu, and their costs and risk are smaller for them to trial a device. This is where we will likely see the first handsets shipping."